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15 Probability Questions And Practice Problems (KS3 & KS4): Harder GCSE Exam Style Questions Included

Probability questions and probability problems require students to work out how likely it is that something is to happen. Probabilities can be described using words or numbers. Probabilities range from 0 to 1 and can be written as fractions, decimals or percentages.

Here you’ll find a selection of probability questions of varying difficulty showing the variety you are likely to encounter in KS3 and KS4 including several GCSE exam style questions.


What are some real life examples of probability?

probability question demo

The more likely something is to happen, the higher its probability. We think about probabilities all the time. For example, you may have seen that there is a 20% chance of rain on a certain day or thought about how likely you are to roll a 6 when playing a game, or to win in a raffle when you buy a ticket.


How to calculate probabilities

The probability of something happening is given by:

\[\text{Probability} = \frac{\text{the number of ways an event can occur}}{\text{the total number of possible outcomes}}\]


We can also use the following formulae to help us calculate probabilities and solve problems:

  • Probability of something not occuring = 1 – probability of if occurring

    P(not\;A) = 1 - P(A)

  • For mutually exclusive events:

    Probability of event A OR event B occurring = Probability of event A +
    Probability of event B

    P(A\;or\;B) = P(A)+P(B)

  • For independent events:

    Probability of event A AND event B occurring = Probability of event A times probability of event B

    P(A\;and\;B) = P(A) × P(B)

Set of 25 printable GCSE maths questions

Try these challenging GCSE maths questions with your students in class. They all include answers and are organised by difficulty!

KS3 probability questions

In KS3 probability questions introduce the idea of the probability scale and the fact that probabilities sum to one. We look at theoretical and experimental probability as well as learning about sample space diagrams and venn diagrams.


Year 7 probability questions

1. Which number could be added to this spinner to make it more likely that the spinner will land on an odd number than a prime number?

 

probability question year 7

3
GCSE Quiz False

9
GCSE Quiz True

5
GCSE Quiz False

11
GCSE Quiz False

Currently there are two odd numbers and two prime numbers so the chances of landing on an odd number or a prime number are the same. By adding 3, 5 or 11 you would be adding one prime number and one odd number so the chances would remain equal.

 

By adding 9 you would be adding an odd number but not a prime number. There would be three odd numbers and two prime numbers so the spinner would be more likely to land on an odd number than a prime number.

2. Ifan rolls a fair dice, with sides labelled A, B, C, D, E and F. What is the probability that the dice lands on a vowel?

\frac{1}{6}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{1}{3}
GCSE Quiz True

\frac{1}{2}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{2}{3}
GCSE Quiz False

A and E are vowels so there are 2 outcomes that are vowels out of 6 outcomes altogether.

 

Therefore the probability is   \frac{2}{6} which can be simplified to \frac{1}{3} .

Year 8 probability questions

3. Max tested a coin to see whether it was fair. The table shows the results of his coin toss experiment:

 

Heads          Tails

    26                  41

 

What is the relative frequency of the coin landing on heads?

\frac{1}{2}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{26}{41}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{26}{67}
GCSE Quiz True

\frac{26}{100}
GCSE Quiz False

Max tossed the coin 67 times and it landed on heads 26 times.

 

\text{Relative frequency (experimental probability) } = \frac{\text{number of successful trials}}{\text{total number of trials}} = \frac{26}{67}

4. Grace rolled two dice. She then did something with the two numbers shown. Here is a sample space diagram showing all the possible outcomes:

 

probability question year 8

 

What did Grace do with the two numbers shown on the dice?

Add them together

GCSE Quiz False

Subtract the number on dice 2 from the number on dice 1

GCSE Quiz False

Multiply them

GCSE Quiz False

Subtract the smaller number from the bigger number

GCSE Quiz True

For each pair of numbers, Grace subtracted the smaller number from the bigger number.

 

For example, if she rolled a 2 and a 5, she did 5 − 2 = 3.

Year 9 probability questions

5. Alice has some red balls and some blue balls in a bag. Altogether she has 25 balls. Alice picks one ball from the bag. The probability that Alice picks a red ball is x and the probability that Alice picks a blue ball is 4x. Work out how many blue balls are in the bag.

6
GCSE Quiz False

100
GCSE Quiz False

20
GCSE Quiz True

5
GCSE Quiz False

Since the probability of mutually exclusive events add to 1:  

 

\begin{aligned} x+4x&=1\\\\ 5x&=1\\\\ x&=\frac{1}{5} \end{aligned}

 

\frac{1}{5} of the balls are red and \frac{4}{5} of the balls are blue.

 

\frac{4}{5} \text{  of  } 25 = 20

6. Arthur asked the students in his class whether they like maths and whether they like science. He recorded his results in the venn diagram below.

 

probability question year 9

 

How many students don’t like science?

16
GCSE Quiz True

23
GCSE Quiz False

7
GCSE Quiz False

6
GCSE Quiz False

We need to look at the numbers that are not in the ‘Like science’ circle. In this case it is 9 + 7 = 16.


KS4 probability questions

In KS4 probability questions involve more problem solving to make predictions about the probability of an event. We also learn about probability tree diagrams, which can be used to represent multiple events, and conditional probability.

One of the first probability slides on tree diagrams for GCSE students on Third Space Learning's online intervention.
One of the first probability slides on tree diagrams for GCSE students on Third Space Learning’s online intervention.


Year 10 probability questions

7. A restaurant offers the following options:

 

Starter – soup or salad

Main – chicken, fish or vegetarian

Dessert – ice cream or cake

 

How many possible different combinations of starter, main and dessert are there?

7
GCSE Quiz False

12
GCSE Quiz True

8
GCSE Quiz False

27
GCSE Quiz False

The number of different combinations is 2 × 3 × 2 = 12.

8. There are 18 girls and 12 boys in a class. \frac{2}{9} of the girls and \frac{1}{4} of the boys walk to school. One of the students who walks to school is chosen at random. Find the probability that the student is a boy. 

\frac{12}{30}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{3}{7}
GCSE Quiz True

\frac{1}{4}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{3}{12}
GCSE Quiz False

First we need to work out how many students walk to school:

 

\frac{2}{9} \text{ of } 18 = 4

 

\frac{1}{4} \text{ of } 12 = 3

 

4 + 3 = 7

 

7 students walk to school. 4 are girls and 3 are boys. So the probability the student is a boy is \frac{3}{7} .

9. Rachel flips a biased coin. The probability that she gets two heads is 0.16. What is the probability that she gets two tails?

0.84
GCSE Quiz False

0.6
GCSE Quiz False

0.36
GCSE Quiz True

0.7056
GCSE Quiz False

We have been given the probability of getting two heads. We need to calculate the probability of getting a head on each flip.

 

Let’s call the probability of getting a head p.

 

The probability p, of getting a head AND getting another head is 0.16.

 

Therefore to find p:

 

\begin{aligned} p × p = 0.16\\\\ p^2 = 0.16\\\\ p = 0.4. \end{aligned}

 

The probability of getting a head is 0.4 so the probability of getting a tail is 0.6.

 

The probability of getting two tails is 0.6 × 0.6 = 0.36.

GCSE foundation probability questions

10. I have a big tub of jelly beans. The probability of picking each different colour of jelly bean is shown below:

 

probability question gcse foundation

 

If I were to pick 60 jelly beans from the tub, how many orange jelly beans would I expect to pick?

25
GCSE Quiz False

12
GCSE Quiz False

0
GCSE Quiz False

15
GCSE Quiz True

First we need to calculate the probability of picking an orange. Probabilities sum to 1 so 1 − (0.2 + 0.15 + 0.1 + 0.3) = 0.25.

 

The probability of picking an orange is 0.25.

 

The number of times I would expect to pick an orange jelly bean is 0.25 × 60 = 15.

11. Dexter runs a game at a fair. To play the game, you must roll a dice and pick a card from a deck of cards.

 

To win the game you must roll an odd number and pick a picture card. The game can be represented by the tree diagram below.

 

probability question gcse foundation 2a

 

Dexter charges players £1 to play and gives £3 to any winners. If 260 people play the game, how much profit would Dexter expect to make?

£65
GCSE Quiz False

£260
GCSE Quiz False

£140
GCSE Quiz True

£120
GCSE Quiz False

Completing the tree diagram:

 

probability question gcse foundation 2b

 

Probability of winning is \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{4}{13} = \frac{4}{26}

 

If 260 play the game, Dexter would receive £260.

 

The expected number of winners would be \frac{4}{26} \times 260 = 40

 

Dexter would need to give away 40 × £3 = £120.

 

Therefore Dexter’s profit would be £260 − £120 = £140.

12. A coin is tossed three times. Work out the probability of getting two heads and one tail. 

\frac{1}{8}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{3}{8}
GCSE Quiz True

\frac{1}{2}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{1}{6}
GCSE Quiz False

There are three ways of getting two heads and one tail: HHT, HTH or THH.

 

The probability of each is \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{8} 

 

Therefore the total probability is \frac{1}{8} +\frac{1}{8} + \frac{1}{8} = \frac{3}{8}

GCSE higher probability questions

13. 200 people were asked about which athletics event they thought was the most exciting to watch. The results are shown in the table below.

 

probability question gcse higher 1

 

A person is chosen at random. Given that that person chose 100m, what is the probability that the person was female?

\frac{32}{200}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{32}{100}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{32}{88}
GCSE Quiz True

\frac{32}{56}
GCSE Quiz False

Since we know that the person chose 100m, we need to include the people in that column only.

 

In total 88 people chose 100m so the probability the person was female is \frac{32}{88}  .

14.  Sam asked 50 people whether they like vegetable pizza or pepperoni pizza.

 

37 people like vegetable pizza. 

25 people like both. 

3 people like neither.

 

Sam picked one of the 50 people at random. Given that the person he chose likes pepperoni pizza, find the probability that they don’t like vegetable pizza.

\frac{12}{50}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{3}{50}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{12}{35}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{10}{35}
GCSE Quiz True

We need to draw a venn diagram to work this out.

 

We start by putting the 25 who like both in the middle section. The 37 people who like vegetable pizza includes the 25 who like both, so 12 more people must like vegetable pizza. 3 don’t like either. We have 50 – 12 – 25 – 3 = 10 people left so this is the number that must like only pepperoni.

 

probability question gcse higher 3

 

There are 35 people altogether who like pepperoni pizza. Of these, 10 do not like vegetable pizza. The probability is   \frac{10}{35} .

15. There are 12 marbles in a bag. There are n red marbles and the rest are blue marbles. Nico takes 2 marbles from the bag. Write an expression involving n for the probability that Nico takes one red marble and one blue marble.

\frac{n(12-n)}{66}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{n(n-1)}{132}
GCSE Quiz True

\frac{(12-n)(11-n)}{132}
GCSE Quiz False

\frac{n(12-n)}{132}
GCSE Quiz False

We need to think about this using a tree diagram. If there are 12 marbles altogether and n are red then 12-n are blue.

 

probability question gcse higher 4

 

To get one red and one blue, Nico could choose red then blue or blue then red so the probability is:

 

\begin{aligned} \frac{n}{12} \times \frac{12-n}{11} + \frac{12-n}{11} \times \frac{n}{11} &= \frac{n(12-n)}{132} + \frac{n(12-n)}{132}\\\\ &= \frac{2n(12-n)}{132}\\\\ &=\frac{n(12-n)}{66} \end{aligned}

Looking for more probability questions and resources?

Third Space Learning’s free GCSE maths resource library contains detailed lessons with step-by-step instructions on how to solve ratio problems, as well as worksheets with ratio and proportion practice questions and more GCSE exam questions.

Take a look at the probability lessons today – more are added every week.

Looking for more KS3 and KS4 maths questions?

Try these:

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Beki Christian
Beki Christian
Maths Teacher and Author
Beki has 11 years experience teaching secondary Maths. She is currently working as a Maths tutor as well as writing resources and blog posts for Third Space Learning.
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Downloadable resource

Set of 25 printable GCSE maths questions

Try these challenging GCSE maths questions with your students in class. They all include answers and are organised by difficulty!

Download Free Now!

Set of 25 printable GCSE maths questions

Downloadable resource

Try these challenging GCSE maths questions with your students in class. They all include answers and are organised by difficulty!

Download Free Now!